FUTURE OF THE "ARAB SPRING"

Year 2011 will always be remembered as the "year of liberty" in the history of the Arab world. The Arab spring revolutions  face an uncertian future in presence of the recent developments though. Will Military Junta  become new "Mubarak"?? Or what are the true intentions of the new government in Libya??  Or whether Syrian revolution had been smothered?? However, answer to these questions comes from history.

When we look at  history and analyze the patterns, we can know a great deal about the future of the Arab revolutions. Each revolution goes through certian phases:

Phase I:  Each revolution starts with a "reaction" from a particular section of society which had been most dissatisfied from the ruling regime. It was intellectuals and workers in Russia, Third estate in France, and Islamists in the Arab world.

Phase II:  The primary "reaction" to this "reactionary class" by any regime is to smother it in its earliest stages. However a phase is reached when the ruling regime is no longer yielding and the "reactionary class" is no longer willing to submit.

PHASE III: This results in violence from both sides against each other, leading to changes in the existing government. This temporary government is called an "interim government" .

PHASE IV: This government is born out of the "shadows" of the previous regime.(the Jacobian club in France and Provisional government in Russia). So it is still trying to "control" the "reactionary class". Therefore it starts using indiscriminate force against all the sections of society alienating all the sections in the process. Thus whole of the society sides with the reactionary class, uprooting the "interim government"as well and therefore leading to "Complete revolution".

Howver each revolution does not passes through the all phases smoothly. Often people mistake Phase III i.e. uprooting of the earlier regime as the "complete revolution". However often the "interim government" is no better than the earlier govenrment. That is why Africa found itself in the grips of dictators when Imperialists left.

Both Libya and Egypt are in the grips of "interim government" today i.e.struck in Phase III. These" interim governments" are no better than the earlier regimes. A new cycle of violence against "interim regime"  is inevitable in Arab world. The revolution will soon enter Phase IV, when whole sections of society will side with the "reactionary class" in order to bring the revolution .

However in Syria the revolutionaries are still struck in "phase II" . Untill and unless they find international support and the supports from sections within the society (including the different sects in Syria), Assad is not going anywhere.

The "Arab spring" is not over yet though....it still has to wither few Tornados more before it blooms forever...

JOKER'S ANARCHY

They are no longer a motley of Human-emotions...Movies today shape up much of our perceptions about ideologies, beliefs etc. They have become a strong tool for forming public opinion .It is true for all form of media today as well.

People generally do not think much  about the beliefs and ideologies. They are much worried about their day-to-day affairs. Because of this reason they generally "follow" whatever is told to them to be right. It is therfore the responsibility of the movies to present the true picture and all facts correctly alongwith their proofs, so that the people can analyze the things for themselves.

However this unbiased presentation of the facts and opinions is not there which leads to idelogies becoming unwarranted "victims". Nothing is more victim of unbiased presentation of facts than "anarchism" itself.

I call this concept of anarchism as the "Joker's anarchy" because of the mis-representaion of the anarchism in movie "the dark knight". Far from being an ideal world without controls,in which everything works harmoniously; anarchy in the movie seen as a dystopia in which everything is crumbling down and is heading towards destruction.
Because of these kinds of mis-representaion of facts, anarchism today is seen as a "terrorist's ideology" rather than a future for humanity.Anarchy or anarchism even in dictionary is first described as a "disorderly state" before its explanation as "a society without state"

What people have in their minds today is "joker's anarchy" rather than a "true anarchy". But the movie is not a stand-alone case. There have been several malicious campaigns run over the years by both the capitalists and socialists which had severely damaged the concept of anarchism. Few incidents like the" haymarket affair" were used as incidents to malign our image. Today people associate Anarchism with something "very negative" or even "evil"

We need to refurbish the image of anarchism. Perhaps we need a word, a new flag in order to carry our revolution forward since the word "anarchism" is "beyond repair"...

I want people to shed the image of a "stateless society" as "Joker's anarchy"